The Next Ten Years.


Unlikely I will see any of this but it does appear possible and probable. Just wait until 2030. 

1 — Auto repair shops will disappear…


2 — A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts… An electrical
motor has 20… Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are
repaired only by dealers… It takes only 10 minutes to remove and
replace an electric motor…

3 — Faulty electric motors are NOT repaired in the dealership but are
sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with ROBOTS…

4 — Your electric motor malfunction light goes on … so you drive up to
what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have
a cup of coffee… Then your car comes out on the other side with a new
electric motor or component…

5 — Gas stations will go away…

6 — Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity…
Companies will install electrical recharging stations … in fact,
they’ve already started in the developed world…

7 — Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to
start building new plants that build ONLY electric cars…

8 — The “Coal Industries” will go away… Gasoline/oil companies will go
away… Drilling for oil will stop… So say goodbye to OPEC… The
Middle East is in trouble…

9 — Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day
then they use… It will be sold back to “The Grid”… The Grid will
store and dispenses it, to the industries that are high electricity
users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof ??

10 — A baby of today will only see “personal cars” in museums. The
FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can even handle…

11 — In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo
paper worldwide… Within just a few years, their business model
disappeared and they went bankrupt… Who would have thought of that
ever happening??

12 — What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of
industries in the next 5–10 years … and most people don’t even see it
coming…

13 — Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take
pictures on film again? With today’s smartphones, who even has a camera
these days??

14 — Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975… The first ones only
had 10,000 pixels but followed Moore’s law… As with all exponential
technologies, it was a disappointment in the beginning … before it
became superior and mainstream in only a few short years…

15 — It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial
Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D
printing, agriculture and jobs…

16 — Forget the book, “Future Shock,” welcome to the 4th Industrial
Revolution…

17 — Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most
traditional industries … (in the next 5 to 10 years…

18 — UBER is just a software tool (they don’t own any cars), and are now
the biggest taxi company in the world… (Ask any taxi driver if they
saw that coming… )

19 — AIR-BnB is now the biggest hotel company in the world … (they
don’t own any properties)… Ask Hilton Hotels or the Marriott if they
saw that coming…

20 — Artificial Intelligence (AI): Computers become exponentially better
in understanding the world… This year, a computer beat the best
Go-player in the world … (10 years earlier than expected)…

21 — In the USA, young lawyers already don’t get jobs (because of IBM’s,
WATSON) … you can get legal advice within a few seconds so far the
basic stuff … with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done
by humans… So, if you’re studying law, STOP IMMEDIATELY… There will
be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, what a thought and only omniscient
specialists will remain…

22 — WATSON already helps nurses diagnosing cancer … it’s 4 times more
accurate and many times faster than human nurses…

23 — Facebook now has a ‘face recognition’ software that can recognize
faces better than humans… In 2030, computers will become more
intelligent than humans…

24 — Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars were already
here… In the next few years, the entire auto industry will start to be
disrupted… You won’t want to own a car any more as you will call a car
with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your
destination…

25 — You will not need to park it, you will pay only for the ‘driven
distance’ and you can be productive while driving. The very young
children of today will never get a driver’s licence and they will never
own a car…

26 — This will change our cities because we will need 90% to 95% fewer
cars… We can transform former parking spaces into green city parks…

27 — About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents
(worldwide). That includes distracted or drunk drivers… We currently
have one accident every 60,000 miles driven… However with autonomous
driving that will drop to 1 accident in about 6 million miles… That
will save a million plus lives, worldwide each year…

28 — Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt…
They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car …
while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary
approach and build a computer on wheels…

29 — Look at what Volvo is doing right now … no more internal
combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2020
models… They are using all-electric or hybrid only (with the intent of
phasing out hybrid models in the not too distant future)…

30 — Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of
Tesla… Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles…
That was unheard of, only a few years ago…

31 — Insurance companies will have massive trouble too … because,
without accidents, the costs of insurance will become cheaper… Their
car insurance business model will disappear…

32 — Real estate will change… Because if you can work while you
commute, or you can work from your home … people will abandon their
towers to move far away to more beautiful and affordable properties.

33 — Electric cars will become mainstream by about 2030… Cities will
be less noisy because all new cars will run ONLY on electricity…

34 — Cities will have much cleaner air…

35 — Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean, eventually free…

36 — Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years …
but you can now see the burgeoning impact … and it’s just starting to
get ramped up…

37 — Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to
the grid … to prevent competition from home solar installations …
but that simply cannot continue… Technology will take care of that
strategy in the not too distant future…

38 — Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year… There
are companies who will build a medical device called the “Tricorder”
from Star Trek that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan,
a sample of your blood, then you breathe into it… It then analyzes 54
biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease… There are dozens of
phone apps out there right now for health…

WELCOME TO TOMORROW — Some of it actually arrived a few years ago…
And, wouldn’t you know it, I’m still trying to figure out how to use all
the features of my cell phone and I remember the rotary dial telephone
and party lines.

God Bless and keep reading

About irishroverpei

Author of "Lily & Me", "The Royal Navy & Me" and Chapter XXl Armageddon. Writer, blogger and RN Submariner, antique automobile enthusiast.
This entry was posted in family, politics, Prince Edward Island. Bookmark the permalink.

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